Global Climate Change Digest: Main Page | Introduction | Archives | Calendar | Copy Policy | Abbreviations | Guide to Publishers

GCRIO Home ->arrow Library ->arrow Archives of the Global Climate Change Digest ->arrow December 1998 ->arrow NEWS... IEA Energy-Use Projections Search

U.S. Global Change Research Information Office logo and link to home

Last Updated:
February 28, 2007

GCRIO Program Overview



Our extensive collection of documents.


Get Acrobat Reader

Privacy Policy

Global Climate Change DigestArchives of the
Global Climate Change Digest

A Guide to Information on Greenhouse Gases and Ozone Depletion
Published July 1988 through June 1999


IEA Energy-Use Projections

Item #d98dec44

Reuters on Dec. 4 carried a report from the International Energy Agency that world energy demand and greenhouse-gas emissions will increase 65 to 70% during the next 20 years if nations do not adopt major policy changes. Two-thirds of those increases would occur in China and other developing countries. The projections to 2020 indicate that

  • fossil fuels will meet 95% of additional global energy demand
  • the fossil-fuel mix will change only marginally
  • output from nuclear power plants will remain stable
  • hydropower growth will be limited by the lack of good sites and by environmental considerations
  • renewable energy sources will represent less than 1% of world electricity generation
  • world oil production from conventional sources would peak between 2010 and 2020
  • no shortage of liquid fuels would occur because reserves of unconventional oil are large

Policies suggested by the agency include developing less costly nuclear power plants, finding long-term solutions for radioactive-waste disposal, and reducing the unit costs of renewable fuels like wind and biomass.

  • Guide to Publishers
  • Index of Abbreviations

  • Hosted by U.S. Global Change Research Information Office. Copyright by Center for Environmental Information, Inc. For more information contact U.S. Global Change Research Information Office, Suite 250, 1717 Pennsylvania Ave, NW, Washington, DC 20006. Tel: +1 202 223 6262. Fax: +1 202 223 3065. Email: Web: Webmaster:
    U.S. Climate Change Technology Program Intranet Logo and link to Home